I imagine this is a very tricky question but hopefully I can get a few insights here.
I am currently wrapping up a personal project (SaaS) that is aimed at a fairly new niche market. There is a competitor, although I would argue not direct as we have different approaches to the problem. I am about to approach potential investors and I want to lay down for them some ballpark figures of how much revenue the competitor is generating.
So far the best I can do is to get a traffic estimate of their site, and apply to this number some average (but I am afraid quite irrelevant) conversion rate. Let's say they have 100K visitors a month (on commercial site, not app itself), then I could say that 5% get a free trial and 10% of free trials convert. Is there anyway to get anything more solid than this?
Competition Revenue Fundraising
As a former consultant, my advice is to say: try 3-4 different estimation methods which should give you a range of numbers: